How LinkedIn Members Plan to Vote in Super Tuesday

February 4, 2008

Super Tuesday is tomorrow! We conducted a poll of our users in the Super Tuesday states to see how you plan to vote.

* Note: We conducted the poll over a week time period. On the last day of our poll, Edwards and Giuliani suspended/withdrew their respective candidacies.

Here are some key findings:

- Independent vote is critical and appears to favor Obama – Massachusetts has 31% of voters identifying themselves as Independents, most of the key states have nearly 20% of voters Independents.

- Independent voters: Obama leads among Independent voters in California, Georgia, Illinois, Massachusetts, and New York.

Here are results from LinkedIn’s Presidential Poll in 6 of the key states, California, Georgia, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey and New York:

CALIFORNIA:

Among Democrats:

Obama 50%
Clinton 36%
Edwards 8%
Kucinich 1%
Undecided 5%

Among Republicans:

Romney 31%
McCain 30%
Undecided 17%
Giuliani 9%
Huckabee 9%
Paul 6%

Among Independents:

Obama 50%
Clinton 14%
Edwards 12%
Paul 9%
McCain 7%
Other 7%
Huckabee 2%
Hunter 2%

GEORGIA:

Among Democrats:

Obama 56%
Clinton 36%
Undecided 4%
Edwards 3%
Kucinich 1%

Among Republicans:

Romney 27%
Huckabee 21%
Undecided 18%
McCain 16%
Giuliani 9%
Paul 7%
Keyes 2%

Among Independents:

Obama 38%
Clinton 16%
Edwards 12%
Paul 9%
McCain 6%
Huckabee 6%
Giuliani 6%
Romney 3%
Other 3%

ILLINOIS:

Obama 69%
Clinton 24%
Edwards 6%
Undecided 3%

Among Republicans:

McCain 39%
Romney 20%
Paul 16%
Huckabee 10%
Giuliani 9%
Undecided 9%

Among Independents:

Obama 57%
Paul 19%
Edwards 10%
McCain 10%
Romney 7%
Clinton 5%

MASSACHUSETTS:

Among Democrats:

Clinton 44%
Obama 43%
Edwards 5%
Undecided 6%
Kucinich 1%

Among Republicans:

Romney 55%
McCain 24%
Giuliani 11%
Undecided 5%
Paul 5%
Huckabee 3%

Among Independents:

Obama 30%
McCain 19%
Clinton 15%
Edwards 11%
Romney 11%
Paul 11%

NEW YORK:

Obama is leading in New York. Giuliani was leading in New York with Romney in second. Giuliani has endorsed McCain.

Among Democrats:

Obama 50%
Clinton 37%
Edwards 4%
Undecided 8%
Kucinich 1%

Among Republicans:

Giuliani 24%
Romney 21%
McCain 18%
Undecided 17%
Paul 15%
Huckabee 6%

Among Independents:

Obama 46%
Giuliani 12%
McCain 11%
Clinton 9%
Romney 5%
Edwards 4%
Huckabee 2%
Hunter 2%
Kucinich 2%

NEW JERSEY:

Among Democrats:

Clinton 42%
Obama 41%
Edwards 9%
Undecided 6%
Kucinich 2%

Among Republicans:

Giuliani 29%
Romney 23%
McCain 19%
Undecided 13%
Huckabee 10%
Paul 4%
Keyes 2%

Among Independents:

Obama 44%
Clinton 15%
Romney 10%
Paul 10%
McCain 7%
Other 5%
Giuliani 2%
Huckabee 2%
Kucinich 2%